Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Cesar Hernandez

HOU · High-A · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#2,073
Score47.0
Baseline44
Signal-7.8
Trend-0.6
Floor37
Baseline44
Ceiling52
Confidence58 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Cesar Hernandez

HOU · High-A · OF

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,073
Prospect Score47.0
Median44
Performance Signal-7.8
Trend-0.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.6
374452
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 44
49 44 39 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 44.8 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 43 2026-09-14 · Median 43.3 2026-09-15 · Median 43 2026-09-16 · Median 43 2026-09-17 · Median 43 2026-09-18 · Median 43 2026-09-19 · Median 43 2026-09-21 · Median 43 2026-09-22 · Median 43 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 44 2026-09-30 · Median 44 2026-10-03 · Median 44 2026-10-04 · Median 44 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 44

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0444
2026-10-0344
2026-09-3044
2026-09-2944
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2243
2026-09-2143
2026-09-1943
2026-09-1843
2026-09-1743
2026-09-1643
2026-09-1543
2026-09-1443.3
2026-09-0943
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2044.8
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445
2026-08-1345
2026-08-1145

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.6
374452
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -7.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.0
Projected range16–52
Arrival probability3%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.