Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Charlie Christensen

DET · High-A · P · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score69.0#224 Overall
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Performance72Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor61Lower-end outcome
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Ceiling75High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of current performance that supports the projection. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
72Solid current performance
Miss ability13.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance28.8% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Traffic prevention0.90 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection61.5
Projected Range37–86
Arrival Probability30%
Productive Role Probability5%
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 68
72 57 42 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 67.2 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-09-29 · Median 68 2026-09-30 · Median 68 2026-10-03 · Median 68 2026-10-04 · Median 68 2026-10-05 · Median 68 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0568
2026-10-0468
2026-10-0368
2026-09-3068
2026-09-2968
2026-09-2568
2026-09-2468
2026-09-2267
2026-09-2167
2026-09-1967
2026-09-1867
2026-09-1767
2026-09-1667
2026-09-1567
2026-09-1467.2
2026-09-0967
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246