Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Charlie Saum

TOR · FCL · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#6,472
Score7.1
Baseline20
Signal-10.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline20
Ceiling30
Confidence32 Risk98 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Charlie Saum

TOR · FCL · C

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#6,472
Prospect Score7.1
Median20
Performance Signal-10.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202030
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 20
52 33.5 15 2026-08-16 · Median 19 2026-08-17 · Median 19 2026-08-18 · Median 19 2026-08-19 · Median 19 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 47.9 2026-08-25 · Median 47.9 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 19.6 2026-09-14 · Median 19.6 2026-09-15 · Median 19.6 2026-09-16 · Median 20 2026-09-17 · Median 20 2026-09-18 · Median 20 2026-09-19 · Median 20 2026-09-21 · Median 20 2026-09-22 · Median 20 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0420
2026-10-0320
2026-09-3020
2026-09-2920
2026-09-2520
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2220
2026-09-2120
2026-09-1920
2026-09-1820
2026-09-1720
2026-09-1620
2026-09-1519.6
2026-09-1419.6
2026-09-0919.6
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2547.9
2026-08-2347.9
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1919
2026-08-1819
2026-08-1719
2026-08-1619

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 98
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202030
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 98
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence32
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.