Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Chase Centala

SEA · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#2,055
Score47.2
Baseline45
Signal-8.7
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline45
Ceiling54
Confidence59 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Chase Centala

SEA · High-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 24.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#2,055
Prospect Score47.2
Median45
Performance Signal-8.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384554
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 45
49 44 39 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 45 2026-08-16 · Median 45 2026-08-17 · Median 45 2026-08-18 · Median 45 2026-08-19 · Median 45 2026-08-20 · Median 44.8 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 43 2026-09-02 · Median 43 2026-09-03 · Median 43 2026-09-05 · Median 43 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 43.7 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 44 2026-09-18 · Median 44 2026-09-19 · Median 44 2026-09-21 · Median 44 2026-09-22 · Median 44 2026-09-24 · Median 44 2026-09-25 · Median 44 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-10-04 · Median 45 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0445
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2544
2026-09-2444
2026-09-2244
2026-09-2144
2026-09-1944
2026-09-1844
2026-09-1744
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1443.7
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0543
2026-09-0343
2026-09-0243
2026-09-0143
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-08-2044.8
2026-08-1945
2026-08-1845
2026-08-1745
2026-08-1645
2026-08-1445
2026-08-1345
2026-08-1145

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384554
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.1
Projected range23–73
Arrival probability10%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.