Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Chase Davis

STL · AAA · CF

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 24.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#898
Prospect Score57.3
Median53
Performance Signal-4.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 53
57 51.5 46 2026-07-23 · Median 53 2026-07-24 · Median 51 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 50.4 2026-08-25 · Median 50.4 2026-08-27 · Median 50 2026-08-28 · Median 50 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-07-23 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1452
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2850
2026-08-2750
2026-08-2550.4
2026-08-2350.4
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-07-2451
2026-07-2353

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 63
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence63
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.4
Projected range22–57
Arrival probability46%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.