Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Chase Meyer

CHC · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,721
Score49.8
Baseline51
Signal+4.9
Trend0.0
Floor40
Baseline51
Ceiling62
Confidence39 Risk53 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Chase Meyer

CHC · High-A · P

Chicago Cubs · Age at assessment: 21.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,721
Prospect Score49.8
Median51
Performance Signal+4.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
405162
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 43 Latest recorded 51
56 47 38 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 42 2026-08-25 · Median 42 2026-08-27 · Median 46 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.5 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.5
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2746
2026-08-2542
2026-08-2342
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 39
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
405162
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.9

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 53
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence39
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.