Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Chris Kean

NYY · AAA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score71.1#171 Overall
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor64Lower-end outcome
Baseline69Most likely outcome
Ceiling76High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Miss ability10.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command1.9 BB/9Above-average command
Contact management1.7 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid64How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.2
Projected Range26–76
Arrival Probability34%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 69
75 67 59 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 71 2026-09-14 · Median 69.5 2026-09-15 · Median 70 2026-09-16 · Median 70 2026-09-17 · Median 69 2026-09-18 · Median 69 2026-09-19 · Median 70 2026-09-21 · Median 70 2026-09-22 · Median 70 2026-09-24 · Median 70 2026-09-25 · Median 70 2026-09-29 · Median 70 2026-09-30 · Median 70 2026-10-03 · Median 70 2026-10-04 · Median 69 2026-10-05 · Median 69 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 69

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0569
2026-10-0469
2026-10-0370
2026-09-3070
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2026-09-1469.5
2026-09-0971
2026-09-0663
2026-09-0563
2026-09-0363
2026-09-0263