Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dax Kilby

NYY · Single-A · SS · Age 20

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score71.3#167 Overall
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Performance60Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor63Lower-end outcome
Baseline68Most likely outcome
Ceiling73High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
60Solid current performance
Offensive impact.830 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact21.3% KNear expected range
Approach24.4% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall55
Hit60
Power50
Run60
Field45
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh88How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.1
Projected Range31–67
Arrival Probability12%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelSingle-A
PositionSS
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 68
72 65 58 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 68 2026-09-14 · Median 67.9 2026-09-15 · Median 68 2026-09-16 · Median 68 2026-09-17 · Median 68 2026-09-18 · Median 68 2026-09-19 · Median 68 2026-09-21 · Median 68 2026-09-22 · Median 68 2026-09-24 · Median 68 2026-09-25 · Median 68 2026-09-29 · Median 68 2026-09-30 · Median 68 2026-10-03 · Median 68 2026-10-04 · Median 68 2026-10-05 · Median 68 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 68

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0568
2026-10-0468
2026-10-0368
2026-09-3068
2026-09-2968
2026-09-2568
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2026-09-2268
2026-09-2168
2026-09-1968
2026-09-1868
2026-09-1768
2026-09-1668
2026-09-1568
2026-09-1467.9
2026-09-0968
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0362
2026-09-0262