Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Claudio Estelie

PIT · AA · P

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#743
Prospect Score59.4
Median57
Performance Signal+1.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 57
61 43.5 26 2026-08-14 · Median 30 2026-08-16 · Median 30 2026-08-17 · Median 30 2026-08-18 · Median 30 2026-08-19 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 39 2026-08-22 · Median 39 2026-08-23 · Median 39.1 2026-08-25 · Median 39.1 2026-08-27 · Median 39 2026-08-28 · Median 39 2026-09-01 · Median 40 2026-09-02 · Median 40 2026-09-03 · Median 40 2026-09-05 · Median 40 2026-09-06 · Median 40 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 43.3 2026-09-15 · Median 57 2026-09-16 · Median 57 2026-09-17 · Median 57 2026-09-18 · Median 57 2026-09-19 · Median 57 2026-09-21 · Median 57 2026-09-22 · Median 57 2026-09-24 · Median 57 2026-09-25 · Median 57 2026-09-29 · Median 57 2026-09-30 · Median 57 2026-10-03 · Median 57 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 57

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0357
2026-09-3057
2026-09-2957
2026-09-2557
2026-09-2457
2026-09-2257
2026-09-2157
2026-09-1957
2026-09-1857
2026-09-1757
2026-09-1657
2026-09-1557
2026-09-1443.3
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0640
2026-09-0540
2026-09-0340
2026-09-0240
2026-09-0140
2026-08-2839
2026-08-2739
2026-08-2539.1
2026-08-2339.1
2026-08-2239
2026-08-2039
2026-08-1930
2026-08-1830
2026-08-1730
2026-08-1630
2026-08-1430

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505764
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence55
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.2
Projected range21–70
Arrival probability12%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.