Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Clay Dungan

SD · AAA · 2B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,332
Score13.3
Baseline14
Signal-28.5
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline14
Ceiling25
Confidence60 Risk37 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Clay Dungan

SD · AAA · 2B

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 30.3 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,332
Prospect Score13.3
Median14
Performance Signal-28.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
201425
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 17 Latest recorded 14
21 15 9 2026-07-21 · Median 17 2026-07-22 · Median 17 2026-07-23 · Median 16 2026-07-24 · Median 15 2026-08-20 · Median 15 2026-08-22 · Median 15 2026-08-23 · Median 15 2026-08-25 · Median 15 2026-08-27 · Median 14.6 2026-08-28 · Median 14.6 2026-09-01 · Median 14.3 2026-09-02 · Median 13.9 2026-09-03 · Median 13.8 2026-09-05 · Median 13.8 2026-09-06 · Median 13.8 2026-09-09 · Median 14.7 2026-09-14 · Median 14.4 2026-09-15 · Median 13.2 2026-09-16 · Median 13 2026-09-17 · Median 13 2026-09-18 · Median 13 2026-09-19 · Median 13 2026-09-21 · Median 13 2026-09-22 · Median 13 2026-09-24 · Median 13 2026-09-25 · Median 13 2026-09-29 · Median 13 2026-09-30 · Median 14 2026-10-03 · Median 14 2026-10-04 · Median 14 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 14

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0414
2026-10-0314
2026-09-3014
2026-09-2913
2026-09-2513
2026-09-2413
2026-09-2213
2026-09-2113
2026-09-1913
2026-09-1813
2026-09-1713
2026-09-1613
2026-09-1513.2
2026-09-1414.4
2026-09-0914.7
2026-09-0613.8
2026-09-0513.8
2026-09-0313.8
2026-09-0213.9
2026-09-0114.3
2026-08-2814.6
2026-08-2714.6
2026-08-2515
2026-08-2315
2026-08-2215
2026-08-2015
2026-07-2415
2026-07-2316
2026-07-2217
2026-07-2117

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 37
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
201425
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -28.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 37
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.3
Projected range17–52
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.