Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Cole MacRae

HOU · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,811
Score28.5
Baseline32
Signal-6.3
Trend0.0
Floor21
Baseline32
Ceiling42
Confidence42 Risk61 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Cole MacRae

HOU · Single-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,811
Prospect Score28.5
Median32
Performance Signal-6.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
213242
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 32
40 33.5 27 2026-06-18 · Median 36 2026-06-19 · Median 36 2026-06-20 · Median 36 2026-06-21 · Median 36 2026-06-22 · Median 36 2026-06-23 · Median 35 2026-06-24 · Median 35 2026-06-25 · Median 35 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 32 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 32 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.9 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-06-18 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.9
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0332
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2832
2026-08-2732
2026-06-2535
2026-06-2435
2026-06-2335
2026-06-2236
2026-06-2136
2026-06-2036
2026-06-1936
2026-06-1836

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 42
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
213242
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.3

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 61
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence42
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.