Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Cole Messina

COL · AA · C

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact translation concern

The verified hit tool is not matching the current contact results. Strikeout rate is the first metric to monitor

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#997
Prospect Score56
Median50
Performance44
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 45; contact evidence sits near the 26th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 27.2%

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-16.1 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 26
Game Power-9.5 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 32

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 50
58 50.5 43 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 52 2026-06-06 · Median 50 2026-06-07 · Median 50 2026-06-08 · Median 48 2026-06-09 · Median 48 2026-06-10 · Median 48 2026-06-11 · Median 49 2026-06-12 · Median 49 2026-06-13 · Median 51 2026-06-14 · Median 50 2026-06-15 · Median 50 2026-06-16 · Median 50 2026-06-17 · Median 48 2026-06-18 · Median 49 2026-06-19 · Median 49 2026-06-20 · Median 48 2026-06-21 · Median 48 2026-06-22 · Median 49 2026-06-23 · Median 49 2026-06-24 · Median 49 2026-06-25 · Median 48 2026-06-26 · Median 48 2026-06-28 · Median 48 2026-06-29 · Median 47 2026-06-30 · Median 47 2026-07-01 · Median 47 2026-07-03 · Median 49 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 47 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 48 2026-07-14 · Median 48 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 48 2026-07-22 · Median 48 2026-07-23 · Median 47 2026-07-24 · Median 47 2026-07-25 · Median 48 2026-07-26 · Median 47 2026-07-27 · Median 47 2026-07-28 · Median 47 2026-07-29 · Median 47 2026-07-30 · Median 47 2026-07-31 · Median 47 2026-08-01 · Median 48 2026-08-03 · Median 48 2026-08-05 · Median 47 2026-08-07 · Median 47 2026-08-08 · Median 47 2026-08-09 · Median 47 2026-08-10 · Median 47 2026-08-11 · Median 47 2026-08-13 · Median 47 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 48 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 48.7 2026-08-25 · Median 48.7 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 49 2026-09-02 · Median 49 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50.5 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450.5
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0249
2026-09-0149
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.7
2026-08-2348.7
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1848
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447
2026-08-1347
2026-08-1147
2026-08-1047
2026-08-0947
2026-08-0847
2026-08-0747
2026-08-0547
2026-08-0348
2026-08-0148
2026-07-3147
2026-07-3047
2026-07-2947
2026-07-2847
2026-07-2747
2026-07-2647
2026-07-2548
2026-07-2447
2026-07-2347
2026-07-2248
2026-07-2148
2026-07-1648
2026-07-1448
2026-07-1248
2026-07-1148
2026-07-0948
2026-07-0747
2026-07-0548
2026-07-0349
2026-07-0147
2026-06-3047
2026-06-2947
2026-06-2848
2026-06-2648
2026-06-2548
2026-06-2449
2026-06-2349
2026-06-2249
2026-06-2148
2026-06-2048
2026-06-1949
2026-06-1849
2026-06-1748
2026-06-1650
2026-06-1550
2026-06-1450
2026-06-1351
2026-06-1249
2026-06-1149
2026-06-1048
2026-06-0948
2026-06-0848
2026-06-0750
2026-06-0650
2026-06-0552
2026-06-0454

Metrics to follow

K% 27.2%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 11.5%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.324

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G95
PA364
AVG.226
OBP.324
SLG.369
OPS.694
HR8
SB21
BB%11.5%
K%27.2%

Hartford Yard Goats · AA · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
465054
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 44

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence92
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production35.5
Historical 80% error band18–53
MLB arrival in 3 years23%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit45Fringe
Power icon
Power45Fringe
Speed icon
Speed40Developmental
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels10403431130146124.324.425.500.925
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Hartford Yard GoatsAA953643144571210846429921.226.324.369.694
2025Hartford Yard GoatsAA31010120000010.200.200.200.400
2025Spokane IndiansHigh-A1074343744897231742517214.259.358.382.740
20252 teams · TotalAll levels1104443844999231742517314.258.354.378.732
2024Spokane IndiansHigh-A1756501710165110.140.232.220.452

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

Checklist appearances

  • 2024 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Colorado Rockies profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.