Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Colin Burgess

ATL · High-A · C · Age 26

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score27.8#4,926 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance25Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor21Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
25Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.549 OPSLimited current offensive impact
Contact23.2% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.279 OBPOn-base output is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid58How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid27Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection28.0
Projected Range10–46
Arrival Probability1%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationAtlanta Braves
LevelHigh-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 29
34 29 24 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 28.4 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 28 2026-09-19 · Median 28 2026-09-21 · Median 28 2026-09-22 · Median 28 2026-09-24 · Median 28 2026-09-25 · Median 28 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
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