Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Colton Becker

KC · AAA · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,114
Score54.9
Baseline51
Signal-10.0
Trend+0.2
Floor45
Baseline51
Ceiling57
Confidence62 Risk0 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Colton Becker

KC · AAA · 1B

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 25.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,114
Prospect Score54.9
Median51
Performance Signal-10.0
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
455157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 51
55 45 35 2026-08-16 · Median 40 2026-08-17 · Median 40 2026-08-18 · Median 40 2026-08-19 · Median 40 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 40.2 2026-08-25 · Median 40.2 2026-08-27 · Median 40 2026-08-28 · Median 40 2026-09-01 · Median 41 2026-09-02 · Median 41 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.7 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-10-04 · Median 51 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0451
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.7
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0241
2026-09-0141
2026-08-2840
2026-08-2740
2026-08-2540.2
2026-08-2340.2
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1940
2026-08-1840
2026-08-1740
2026-08-1640

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
455157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.4
Projected range23–58
Arrival probability41%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.