Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Connor Dykstra

SEA · Single-A · C · Age 26

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score35.5#3,791 Overall
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Performance33Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor27Lower-end outcome
Baseline34Most likely outcome
Ceiling42High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
33Developing performance profile
Power.117 ISONear expected range
Contact29.9% KContact risk
On-base foundation.394 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid56How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh13Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection26.7
Projected Range8–45
Arrival Probability0%
Productive Role Probability0%
Player Background
OrganizationSeattle Mariners
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 34
40 34.5 29 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 35.2 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 35 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-10-05 · Median 34 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0534
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
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2026-09-2135
2026-09-1935
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2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
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2026-09-1435.2
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233