Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Connor Wietgrefe

PIT · AAA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws L
Prospect Score65.8#347 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance59Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor55Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling67High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
59Solid current performance
Miss ability8.0 K/9Near expected range
Dominance13.1% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal
Contact management0.7 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid66How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.7
Projected Range22–67
Arrival Probability56%
Productive Role Probability8%
Player Background
OrganizationPittsburgh Pirates
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 61
65 59 53 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.6 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 61 2026-09-19 · Median 61 2026-09-21 · Median 61 2026-09-22 · Median 61 2026-09-24 · Median 60 2026-09-25 · Median 60 2026-09-29 · Median 61 2026-09-30 · Median 61 2026-10-03 · Median 61 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0561
2026-10-0461
2026-10-0361
2026-09-3061
2026-09-2961
2026-09-2560
2026-09-2460
2026-09-2261
2026-09-2161
2026-09-1961
2026-09-1861
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.6
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257