Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Creed Willems

BAL · AAA · C · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score68.7#234 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance56Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
56Solid current performance
Power.173 ISONear expected range
Contact21.6% KNear expected range
Approach11.0% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit45
Power55
Run30
Field40
Arm65

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-21

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh95How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.3
Projected Range24–59
Arrival Probability65%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAAA
PositionC
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 64
68 62.5 57 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 63.1 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 64 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
2026-10-0464
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