Player Profile
Cristian Alvarado
SF · AAA · P · Age 32
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score11.4#6,401 Overall
Baseline14Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline14Most likely outcome
Ceiling31High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.
Performance
Selected evidence49Developing performance profile
Miss ability11.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.9 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management1.0 HR/9Near expected range
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping46How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping46Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.9
Projected Range24–74
Arrival Probability7%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 7
Latest recorded 14
Change +7.1
2026-10-05 · Median 14
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 14 |
| 2026-10-04 | 14 |
| 2026-10-03 | 14 |
| 2026-09-30 | 14 |
| 2026-09-29 | 14 |
| 2026-09-25 | 14 |
| 2026-09-24 | 14 |
| 2026-09-22 | 14 |
| 2026-09-21 | 14 |
| 2026-09-19 | 13 |
| 2026-09-18 | 13 |
| 2026-09-17 | 13 |
| 2026-09-16 | 13 |
| 2026-09-15 | 12.6 |
| 2026-09-14 | 12.5 |
| 2026-09-09 | 12.4 |
| 2026-09-06 | 7.4 |
| 2026-09-05 | 7.4 |
| 2026-09-03 | 7.4 |
| 2026-09-02 | 6.9 |