Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Curtis Hebert

HOU · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,870
Score20.9
Baseline30
Signal-3.0
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline30
Ceiling40
Confidence25 Risk85 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Curtis Hebert

HOU · Single-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,870
Prospect Score20.9
Median30
Performance Signal-3.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203040
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 30
34 24.5 15 2026-08-16 · Median 19 2026-08-17 · Median 19 2026-08-18 · Median 19 2026-08-19 · Median 19 2026-08-20 · Median 19 2026-08-22 · Median 19 2026-08-23 · Median 19 2026-08-25 · Median 19 2026-08-27 · Median 29.1 2026-08-28 · Median 29.1 2026-09-01 · Median 29.1 2026-09-02 · Median 29.1 2026-09-03 · Median 29.1 2026-09-05 · Median 29.1 2026-09-06 · Median 29.1 2026-09-09 · Median 29.5 2026-09-14 · Median 29.1 2026-09-15 · Median 29.1 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529.1
2026-09-1429.1
2026-09-0929.5
2026-09-0629.1
2026-09-0529.1
2026-09-0329.1
2026-09-0229.1
2026-09-0129.1
2026-08-2829.1
2026-08-2729.1
2026-08-2519
2026-08-2319
2026-08-2219
2026-08-2019
2026-08-1919
2026-08-1819
2026-08-1719
2026-08-1619

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 25
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 85
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203040
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -3.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 85
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence25
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.