Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Daniel Guerra

TOR · AAA · P

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 22.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools

Compare

Assessment saved: Sep 25, 2026 · Stats updated: Sep 25, 2026

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Current strikeout and K-BB results are outperforming the verified pitch-quality expectation

High Confidence · 99%

PB Rank#82

Prospect Score76

Median74

Performance66

Trend+0.1%

Why the player is here

Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 85th percentile for comparable pitchers
K/9 is 12.3

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

Stuff+18.6 percentile gap

Expected 67 Observed 85

Command+11.4 percentile gap

Expected 42 Observed 53

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement

First recorded 59 Latest recorded 74

2026-09-25 · Median 74

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.

View recorded values

Date	Median
2026-09-25	74
2026-09-24	74
2026-09-22	74
2026-09-21	74
2026-09-19	74
2026-09-18	74
2026-09-17	74
2026-09-16	74
2026-09-15	74
2026-09-14	73.7
2026-09-09	77
2026-09-06	76
2026-09-05	76
2026-09-03	76
2026-09-02	76
2026-09-01	76
2026-08-28	76
2026-08-27	76
2026-08-25	65.6
2026-08-23	66.2
2026-08-22	66
2026-08-20	66
2026-08-19	48
2026-08-18	48
2026-08-17	48
2026-08-16	48
2026-08-14	48
2026-08-13	48
2026-08-11	48
2026-08-10	48
2026-08-09	48
2026-08-08	48
2026-08-07	48
2026-08-05	48
2026-08-03	48
2026-08-01	48
2026-07-31	48
2026-07-30	48
2026-07-29	48
2026-07-28	48
2026-07-27	48
2026-07-26	48
2026-07-25	48
2026-07-24	46
2026-07-23	48
2026-06-25	60
2026-06-24	60
2026-06-23	60
2026-06-22	60
2026-06-21	60
2026-06-20	60
2026-06-19	60
2026-06-18	60
2026-06-17	60
2026-06-16	60
2026-06-15	60
2026-06-14	60
2026-06-13	60
2026-06-12	60
2026-06-11	60
2026-06-10	60
2026-06-09	59
2026-06-08	59
2026-06-07	59
2026-06-06	59
2026-06-05	59
2026-06-04	59

Metrics to follow

K/9 12.3

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 20.2%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 4.6

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

Recent regular season
Period	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP	K/9
Last 7 days	All teams	All levels	0	1	13.50	1	0	0	1.1	3	2	2	2	0	2	2.25	13.50
Last 30 days	All teams	All levels	1	1	5.40	6	0	0	8.1	8	5	5	3	7	10	1.80	10.80

Recent regular season

Period

Team

Level

ERA

WHIP

K/9

Last 7 days

All teams

All levels

13.50

1.1

2.25

13.50

Last 30 days

All teams

All levels

5.40

8.1

1.80

10.80

Year-by-year regular season
Year	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	WHIP	K/9
2026	Buffalo Bisons	AAA	1	1	5.79	7	0	0	9.1	9	6	6	4	8	11	1.82	10.61
2026	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	AA	0	0	2.25	3	0	0	4.0	3	1	1	1	1	9	1.00	20.25
2026	Vancouver Canadians	High-A	3	3	3.20	14	14	0	59.0	49	23	21	4	29	78	1.32	11.90
2026	Dunedin Blue Jays	Single-A	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	3.1	1	0	0	0	1	5	0.60	13.50
2026	FCL Blue Jays	FCL	1	0	3.38	1	0	0	2.2	1	1	1	0	1	4	0.75	13.50
2026	5 teams · Total	All levels	5	4	3.33	26	15	0	78.1	63	31	29	9	40	107	1.31	12.29
2025	Dunedin Blue Jays	Single-A	4	5	3.40	22	13	2	82.0	61	34	31	9	39	84	1.22	9.22
2024	Dunedin Blue Jays	Single-A	1	2	4.28	6	6	0	27.1	17	14	13	2	14	28	1.13	9.22
2024	FCL Blue Jays	FCL	0	6	6.42	11	9	0	40.2	50	31	29	0	27	41	1.89	9.07
2024	2 teams · Total	All levels	1	8	5.56	17	15	0	68.0	67	45	42	2	41	69	1.59	9.13
2023	FCL Blue Jays	FCL	1	3	5.19	9	5	0	34.2	42	23	20	2	10	35	1.50	9.09
2022	DSL Blue Jays	DSL	1	1	0.84	6	6	0	21.1	12	2	2	0	16	19	1.31	8.02

Year-by-year regular season

Year

Team

Level

ERA

WHIP

K/9

2026

Buffalo Bisons

AAA

5.79

9.1

1.82

10.61

2026

New Hampshire Fisher Cats

2.25

4.0

1.00

20.25

2026

Vancouver Canadians

High-A

3.20

59.0

1.32

11.90

2026

Dunedin Blue Jays

Single-A

0.00

3.1

0.60

13.50

2026

FCL Blue Jays

FCL

3.38

2.2

0.75

13.50

2026

5 teams · Total

All levels

3.33

78.1

107

1.31

12.29

2025

Dunedin Blue Jays

Single-A

3.40

82.0

1.22

9.22

2024

Dunedin Blue Jays

Single-A

4.28

27.1

1.13

9.22

2024

FCL Blue Jays

FCL

6.42

40.2

1.89

9.07

2024

2 teams · Total

All levels

5.56

68.0

1.59

9.13

2023

FCL Blue Jays

FCL

5.19

34.2

1.50

9.09

2022

DSL Blue Jays

DSL

0.84

21.1

1.31

8.02

Daniel Guerra

Dominance ahead of the tool grades

Why the player is here

Tool vs observed results

Model history

Metrics to follow

2026 season

Scouting Scenario Range

Profile Context

Backtested Forecasts

Scouting Tools

Tool Profile

Player Stats

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