Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Daniel Harper

PHI · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#5,874
Score20.9
Baseline23
Signal-37.6
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline23
Ceiling30
Confidence59 Risk37 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Daniel Harper

PHI · AA · P

Philadelphia Phillies · Age at assessment: 27.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#5,874
Prospect Score20.9
Median23
Performance Signal-37.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202330
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -37.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 20 Latest recorded 23
27 21 15 2026-08-16 · Median 20 2026-08-17 · Median 20 2026-08-18 · Median 20 2026-08-19 · Median 20 2026-08-20 · Median 20 2026-08-22 · Median 20 2026-08-23 · Median 20.2 2026-08-25 · Median 20.2 2026-08-27 · Median 20.2 2026-08-28 · Median 20.2 2026-09-01 · Median 19.9 2026-09-02 · Median 19.9 2026-09-03 · Median 19.9 2026-09-05 · Median 19.9 2026-09-06 · Median 19.9 2026-09-09 · Median 21.5 2026-09-14 · Median 22.5 2026-09-15 · Median 22 2026-09-16 · Median 22 2026-09-17 · Median 22 2026-09-18 · Median 22 2026-09-19 · Median 22 2026-09-21 · Median 22 2026-09-22 · Median 22 2026-09-24 · Median 22 2026-09-25 · Median 22 2026-09-29 · Median 23 2026-09-30 · Median 23 2026-10-03 · Median 23 2026-10-04 · Median 23 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 23

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0423
2026-10-0323
2026-09-3023
2026-09-2923
2026-09-2522
2026-09-2422
2026-09-2222
2026-09-2122
2026-09-1922
2026-09-1822
2026-09-1722
2026-09-1622
2026-09-1522
2026-09-1422.5
2026-09-0921.5
2026-09-0619.9
2026-09-0519.9
2026-09-0319.9
2026-09-0219.9
2026-09-0119.9
2026-08-2820.2
2026-08-2720.2
2026-08-2520.2
2026-08-2320.2
2026-08-2220
2026-08-2020
2026-08-1920
2026-08-1820
2026-08-1720
2026-08-1620

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 37
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202330
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -37.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 37
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.2
Projected range10–59
Arrival probability5%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.