Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Daniel Keaney

TEX · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#997
Score56.2
Baseline54
Signal+12.3
Trend0.0
Floor47
Baseline54
Ceiling65
Confidence57 Risk14 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Daniel Keaney

TEX · Single-A · P

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 22.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#997
Prospect Score56.2
Median54
Performance Signal+12.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 54
61 55.5 50 2026-08-11 · Median 57 2026-08-13 · Median 57 2026-08-14 · Median 57 2026-08-16 · Median 57 2026-08-17 · Median 57 2026-08-18 · Median 57 2026-08-19 · Median 57 2026-08-20 · Median 56.5 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 54.1 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-08-11 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0454
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1454.1
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2056.5
2026-08-1957
2026-08-1857
2026-08-1757
2026-08-1657
2026-08-1457
2026-08-1357
2026-08-1157

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection55.9
Projected range31–81
Arrival probability13%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.