Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Daniel Pierce

TB · Single-A · SS IL(60-Day)

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 20.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact translation concern

The verified hit tool is not matching the current contact results. Strikeout rate is the first metric to monitor

High Confidence · 87%
PB Rank#1,084
Prospect Score55
Median53
Performance42
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 55; contact evidence sits near the 39th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 28.6%

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-19.7 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 39
Game Power+11.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 54

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 53
68 58 48 2026-06-04 · Median 64 2026-06-05 · Median 64 2026-06-06 · Median 64 2026-06-07 · Median 64 2026-06-08 · Median 64 2026-06-09 · Median 64 2026-06-10 · Median 64 2026-06-11 · Median 64 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 52.8 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1753
2026-09-1653
2026-09-1553
2026-09-1452.8
2026-09-0953
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-06-1164
2026-06-1064
2026-06-0964
2026-06-0864
2026-06-0764
2026-06-0664
2026-06-0564
2026-06-0464

Metrics to follow

K% 28.6%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 7.9%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.336

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G34
PA140
AVG.252
OBP.336
SLG.390
OPS.726
HR4
SB6
BB%7.9%
K%28.6%

Charleston RiverDogs · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
455360
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 42

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence85
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production32.6
Historical 80% error band14–51
MLB arrival in 3 years2%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power45Fringe
Speed icon
Speed60Above Avg
Defense icon
Defense55Avg
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A3414012317315042411406.252.336.390.726

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.