Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Daniel Wright

CWS · Single-A · P

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 24.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,919
Prospect Score48.3
Median45
Performance Signal+8.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384555
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 45
50 41 32 2026-08-14 · Median 36 2026-08-16 · Median 36 2026-08-17 · Median 36 2026-08-18 · Median 36 2026-08-19 · Median 36 2026-08-20 · Median 36 2026-08-22 · Median 36 2026-08-23 · Median 36 2026-08-25 · Median 36 2026-08-27 · Median 36 2026-08-28 · Median 36 2026-09-01 · Median 36 2026-09-02 · Median 36 2026-09-03 · Median 36 2026-09-05 · Median 36 2026-09-06 · Median 36 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.1 2026-09-15 · Median 45 2026-09-16 · Median 45 2026-09-17 · Median 45 2026-09-18 · Median 45 2026-09-19 · Median 45 2026-09-21 · Median 45 2026-09-22 · Median 45 2026-09-24 · Median 45 2026-09-25 · Median 45 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2545
2026-09-2445
2026-09-2245
2026-09-2145
2026-09-1945
2026-09-1845
2026-09-1745
2026-09-1645
2026-09-1545
2026-09-1445.1
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0636
2026-09-0536
2026-09-0336
2026-09-0236
2026-09-0136
2026-08-2836
2026-08-2736
2026-08-2536
2026-08-2336
2026-08-2236
2026-08-2036
2026-08-1936
2026-08-1836
2026-08-1736
2026-08-1636
2026-08-1436

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384555
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +8.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence55
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection52.2
Projected range28–77
Arrival probability18%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.