Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Danny Hilario

TB · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,534
Score30.3
Baseline36
Signal0.0
Trend0.0
Floor21
Baseline36
Ceiling47
Confidence32 Risk81 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Danny Hilario

TB · Single-A · P

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 22.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,534
Prospect Score30.3
Median36
Performance Signal0.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
213647
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 36 Latest recorded 36
40 35.5 31 2026-08-27 · Median 36 2026-08-28 · Median 36 2026-09-01 · Median 35 2026-09-02 · Median 35 2026-09-03 · Median 35 2026-09-05 · Median 35 2026-09-06 · Median 35 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35.9 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 36 2026-09-22 · Median 36 2026-09-24 · Median 36 2026-09-25 · Median 36 2026-09-29 · Median 36 2026-09-30 · Median 36 2026-10-03 · Median 36 2026-10-04 · Median 36 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 36

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0436
2026-10-0336
2026-09-3036
2026-09-2936
2026-09-2536
2026-09-2436
2026-09-2236
2026-09-2136
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1435.9
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0635
2026-09-0535
2026-09-0335
2026-09-0235
2026-09-0135
2026-08-2836
2026-08-2736

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 81
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
213647
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal 0.0

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 81
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence32
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.