Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Danny Thompson Jr.

TOR · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score66.2#329 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance62Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling66High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
62Solid current performance
Miss ability11.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance20.1% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Traffic prevention1.16 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall45
Fastball50
Slider55
Changeup40
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh90How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh10Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection53.4
Projected Range31–76
Arrival Probability54%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 61
67 62 57 2026-09-02 · Median 63 2026-09-03 · Median 63 2026-09-05 · Median 63 2026-09-06 · Median 63 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 62.4 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 61 2026-10-05 · Median 61 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 61

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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