Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Darwin Rodriguez

KC · Single-A · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,852
Prospect Score48.8
Median45
Performance Signal+4.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 45
50 44.5 39 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 44 2026-08-22 · Median 44 2026-08-23 · Median 43.4 2026-08-25 · Median 43.4 2026-08-27 · Median 43 2026-08-28 · Median 43 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 46 2026-09-14 · Median 45.8 2026-09-15 · Median 46 2026-09-16 · Median 46 2026-09-17 · Median 46 2026-09-18 · Median 46 2026-09-19 · Median 46 2026-09-21 · Median 46 2026-09-22 · Median 46 2026-09-24 · Median 46 2026-09-25 · Median 46 2026-09-29 · Median 45 2026-09-30 · Median 45 2026-10-03 · Median 45 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 45

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0345
2026-09-3045
2026-09-2945
2026-09-2546
2026-09-2446
2026-09-2246
2026-09-2146
2026-09-1946
2026-09-1846
2026-09-1746
2026-09-1646
2026-09-1546
2026-09-1445.8
2026-09-0946
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2843
2026-08-2743
2026-08-2543.4
2026-08-2343.4
2026-08-2244
2026-08-2044
2026-08-1944
2026-08-1844
2026-08-1744
2026-08-1644
2026-08-1444

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384553
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.5
Projected range28–70
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.