Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Dash Albus

KC · High-A · P

Kansas City Royals · Age at assessment: 24.2 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#967
Prospect Score56.6
Median54
Performance Signal+16.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
475463
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +16.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 35 Latest recorded 54
59 45 31 2026-08-14 · Median 35 2026-08-16 · Median 38 2026-08-17 · Median 38 2026-08-18 · Median 38 2026-08-19 · Median 38 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 46.1 2026-08-25 · Median 46.1 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 49 2026-09-05 · Median 49 2026-09-06 · Median 49 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 54.2 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1454.2
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0649
2026-09-0549
2026-09-0349
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.1
2026-08-2346.1
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1938
2026-08-1838
2026-08-1738
2026-08-1638
2026-08-1435

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
475463
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +16.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection52.3
Projected range27–77
Arrival probability11%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.