Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dauri Fernández

CLE · High-A · 2B · Age 20

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score69.2#216 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor60Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
55Solid current performance
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit55
Power40
Run55
Field50
Arm55

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection44.1
Projected Range29–60
Arrival Probability76%
Productive Role Probability14%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelHigh-A
Position2B
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 65
72 66.5 61 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 67 2026-09-06 · Median 67 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 65.6 2026-09-15 · Median 66 2026-09-16 · Median 66 2026-09-17 · Median 66 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 66 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
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2026-09-1465.6
2026-09-0966
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2026-09-0567
2026-09-0368
2026-09-0268