Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

David Hagaman

ARI · AA · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score71.0#176 Overall
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Performance63Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline65Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
63Solid current performance
Miss ability11.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command3.8 BB/9Near expected range
Contact management0.8 HR/9Near expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall50
Fastball60
Slider50
Curveball60
Changeup50
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection53.3
Projected Range31–76
Arrival Probability54%
Productive Role Probability10%
Player Background
OrganizationArizona Diamondbacks
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 65
72 66.5 61 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 68 2026-09-06 · Median 68 2026-09-09 · Median 65 2026-09-14 · Median 65.4 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 65 2026-09-30 · Median 65 2026-10-03 · Median 65 2026-10-04 · Median 65 2026-10-05 · Median 65 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 65

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0565
2026-10-0465
2026-10-0365
2026-09-3065
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2026-09-2165
2026-09-1965
2026-09-1865
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2026-09-1465.4
2026-09-0965
2026-09-0668
2026-09-0568
2026-09-0368
2026-09-0268