Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Davidxon Lara

MIA · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,488
Score51.6
Baseline49
Signal-8.8
Trend-0.2
Floor41
Baseline49
Ceiling56
Confidence59 Risk10 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Davidxon Lara

MIA · Single-A · P

Miami Marlins · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,488
Prospect Score51.6
Median49
Performance Signal-8.8
Trend-0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-0.2
414956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 49
54 42 30 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45.4 2026-08-25 · Median 45.4 2026-08-27 · Median 45 2026-08-28 · Median 45 2026-09-01 · Median 45 2026-09-02 · Median 45 2026-09-03 · Median 45 2026-09-05 · Median 45 2026-09-06 · Median 45 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 49.4 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1449.4
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0645
2026-09-0545
2026-09-0345
2026-09-0245
2026-09-0145
2026-08-2845
2026-08-2745
2026-08-2545.4
2026-08-2345.4
2026-08-2245
2026-08-2045
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-0.2
414956
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -8.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection45.5
Projected range21–70
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.