Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Davis Chastain

LAD · High-A · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#536
Prospect Score62.1
Median59
Performance Signal+18.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 56 Latest recorded 59
63 57 51 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 55.9 2026-08-25 · Median 55.9 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 58 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.4 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.4
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258
2026-09-0158
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2555.9
2026-08-2355.9
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2056
2026-08-1956
2026-08-1856
2026-08-1756
2026-08-1656
2026-08-1456

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525966
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection53.3
Projected range28–78
Arrival probability20%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.