Prospect Baseline Profile

Davis Polo

ATL · AAA · P

Prospect Baseline Rank #57

Player Assessment

Current model read

Performance Grade of 70 supports the current evaluation; Age / Level score of 75 indicates favorable developmental context.

Prospect Score & Development

63/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

81/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

85/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment

70/100

Solid current production

K/9

Miss ability9.8 K/9Near expected range

K-BB%

Dominance17.9% K-BBBalanced strikeout-to-walk signal

WHIP

Traffic prevention1.08 WHIPStrong traffic prevention

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

Baseline is 81, between a 64 Floor and 84 Ceiling on Prospect Baseline’s outcome scale. The wide range reflects meaningful uncertainty in the eventual outcome.

What to Watch

Track which new evidence narrows the outcome range.

Model factors and risk context

Model Risk Index0

Age to level75

Track record73

Data quality90

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 64Baseline 81Ceiling 84

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 81 on 2026-10-12 · Current Floor 64, Baseline 81, Ceiling 84

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values

Date	Baseline	Model version
2026-10-12	81	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-09	81	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-08	81	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-07	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-05	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-04	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-03	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-30	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-29	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-25	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-24	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-22	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-21	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-19	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-18	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-17	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-16	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-15	79	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-14	69	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-09	70	pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-06	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-05	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-03	58	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-02	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-09-01	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-28	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-27	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-25	52	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-08-23	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-22	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-20	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-19	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-18	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-17	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-16	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-14	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-13	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-11	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-10	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-09	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-08	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-07	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-05	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-03	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-08-01	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-31	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-30	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-29	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-28	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-27	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-26	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-25	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-24	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-23	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-22	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-21	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-16	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-14	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-12	51	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-11	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-09	53	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-07	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-05	54	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-03	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-01	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-30	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-29	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-28	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-26	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-25	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-24	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-23	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-22	50	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-21	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-20	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-19	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-18	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-17	52	pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-16	52	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-15	52	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-14	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-13	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-12	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-11	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-10	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-09	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-08	54	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-07	50	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-06	50	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-05	50	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
2026-06-04	50	pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 84 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 0/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 85/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.