Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Dayan Frias

CLE · AAA · 3B

Cleveland Guardians · Age at assessment: 24.3 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,216
Prospect Score53.9
Median51
Performance Signal-17.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
445157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 51
56 50.5 45 2026-07-16 · Median 52 2026-07-21 · Median 51 2026-07-22 · Median 51 2026-07-23 · Median 50 2026-07-24 · Median 49 2026-08-20 · Median 50 2026-08-22 · Median 50 2026-08-23 · Median 49.9 2026-08-25 · Median 49.9 2026-08-27 · Median 49 2026-08-28 · Median 49 2026-09-01 · Median 50 2026-09-02 · Median 50 2026-09-03 · Median 50 2026-09-05 · Median 50 2026-09-06 · Median 50 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.3 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-07-16 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.3
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0650
2026-09-0550
2026-09-0350
2026-09-0250
2026-09-0150
2026-08-2849
2026-08-2749
2026-08-2549.9
2026-08-2349.9
2026-08-2250
2026-08-2050
2026-07-2449
2026-07-2350
2026-07-2251
2026-07-2151
2026-07-1652

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 5
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
445157
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 5
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection35.9
Projected range19–53
Arrival probability35%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.