Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dean Moss

TB · Single-A · OF · Age 21

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score60.3#661 Overall
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Performance47Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor51Lower-end outcome
Baseline56Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
47Developing performance profile
Power.121 ISONear expected range
Contact16.9% KStrong contact signal
Approach10.0% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit55
Power50
Run50
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-24

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh89How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.7
Projected Range25–56
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationTampa Bay Rays
LevelSingle-A
PositionOF
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 56
60 55.5 51 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.9 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-09-25 · Median 56 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-10-05 · Median 56 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0556
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2556
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.9
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255