Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Dean Moss

TB · Single-A · OF

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 20.4 · Bats: L · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Power tool translating

Current game power is broadly aligned with the verified power grade

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#649
Prospect Score61
Median56
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Power 50; game-power evidence sits near the 44th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.121

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+0.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 59
Game Power-6.2 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 44

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 56
60 54 48 2026-07-23 · Median 53 2026-07-24 · Median 53 2026-07-25 · Median 53 2026-07-26 · Median 53 2026-07-27 · Median 53 2026-07-28 · Median 53 2026-07-29 · Median 53 2026-07-30 · Median 53 2026-07-31 · Median 53 2026-08-01 · Median 53 2026-08-03 · Median 53 2026-08-05 · Median 53 2026-08-07 · Median 53 2026-08-08 · Median 53 2026-08-09 · Median 53 2026-08-10 · Median 53 2026-08-11 · Median 53 2026-08-13 · Median 53 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 52.6 2026-08-25 · Median 52.6 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 55.9 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-07-23 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1455.9
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2552.6
2026-08-2352.6
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453
2026-08-1353
2026-08-1153
2026-08-1053
2026-08-0953
2026-08-0853
2026-08-0753
2026-08-0553
2026-08-0353
2026-08-0153
2026-07-3153
2026-07-3053
2026-07-2953
2026-07-2853
2026-07-2753
2026-07-2653
2026-07-2553
2026-07-2453
2026-07-2353

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.121

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.377

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 16.9%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G78
PA331
AVG.256
OBP.336
SLG.377
OPS.714
HR5
SB17
BB%10.0%
K%16.9%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
515661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence89
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production40.7
Historical 80% error band25–56
MLB arrival in 3 years11%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels938343113002443.324.395.412.807
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Charleston RiverDogsSingle-A713002613267130534304915.257.338.364.702
2026FCL RaysFCL73128571308372.250.323.500.823
20262 teams · TotalAll levels783312893774143542335617.256.336.377.714

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.