Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Deivi Villafana

CIN · High-A · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#995
Prospect Score56
Median53
Performance46
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 55; command evidence sits near the 75th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.6

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-6.5 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 44
Command+17.0 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 75

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 53
58 47 36 2026-06-04 · Median 49 2026-06-05 · Median 49 2026-06-06 · Median 49 2026-06-07 · Median 49 2026-06-08 · Median 48 2026-06-09 · Median 48 2026-06-10 · Median 48 2026-06-11 · Median 48 2026-06-12 · Median 48 2026-06-13 · Median 47 2026-06-14 · Median 44 2026-06-15 · Median 44 2026-06-16 · Median 44 2026-06-17 · Median 44 2026-06-18 · Median 44 2026-06-19 · Median 44 2026-06-20 · Median 44 2026-06-21 · Median 45 2026-06-22 · Median 45 2026-06-23 · Median 45 2026-06-24 · Median 45 2026-06-25 · Median 45 2026-06-26 · Median 45 2026-06-28 · Median 47 2026-06-29 · Median 47 2026-06-30 · Median 47 2026-07-01 · Median 47 2026-07-03 · Median 48 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 48 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 47 2026-07-14 · Median 47 2026-07-16 · Median 47 2026-07-21 · Median 45 2026-07-22 · Median 45 2026-07-23 · Median 51 2026-07-24 · Median 51 2026-07-25 · Median 40 2026-07-26 · Median 40 2026-07-27 · Median 40 2026-07-28 · Median 40 2026-07-29 · Median 40 2026-07-30 · Median 40 2026-07-31 · Median 40 2026-08-01 · Median 40 2026-08-03 · Median 40 2026-08-05 · Median 43 2026-08-07 · Median 45 2026-08-08 · Median 45 2026-08-09 · Median 45 2026-08-10 · Median 45 2026-08-11 · Median 45 2026-08-13 · Median 45 2026-08-14 · Median 44 2026-08-16 · Median 44 2026-08-17 · Median 44 2026-08-18 · Median 44 2026-08-19 · Median 44 2026-08-20 · Median 45 2026-08-22 · Median 45 2026-08-23 · Median 45.4 2026-08-25 · Median 45 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 53 2026-09-14 · Median 53.4 2026-09-15 · Median 53 2026-09-16 · Median 53 2026-09-17 · Median 53 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2553
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2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.6

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.40

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 14.7%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G24
IP99.1
ERA5.80
WHIP1.39
K/98.5
BB/92.6
K-BB%14.7%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
485358
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 46

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence88
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production44.9
Historical 80% error band24–66
MLB arrival in 3 years12%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball50Avg
Slider icon
Slider50Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels019.722208.1109913111.5611.88
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Dayton DragonsHigh-A047.9187033.0383229613361.559.82
2026Daytona TortugasSingle-A254.751611066.1714635616581.317.87
20262 teams · TotalAll levels295.802418099.110978641229941.398.52
2025ACL RedsACL136.56128046.278423449421.868.10
2024DSL RedsDSL101.933004.27110051.509.64
2024DSL RojosDSL106.752004.07430142.009.00
20242 teams · TotalAll levels204.155008.214540191.739.35

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-25T14:54:05.

More Cincinnati Reds profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.