Player profile
Derek Cerda
Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 23.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.
PB Rank#1,591
Prospect Score50.8
Median47
Performance Signal+1.1
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
404755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +1.1
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 42
Latest recorded 47
2026-10-04 · Median 47
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 47 |
| 2026-10-03 | 47 |
| 2026-09-30 | 47 |
| 2026-09-29 | 47 |
| 2026-09-25 | 47 |
| 2026-09-24 | 47 |
| 2026-09-22 | 47 |
| 2026-09-21 | 47 |
| 2026-09-19 | 47 |
| 2026-09-18 | 47 |
| 2026-09-17 | 47 |
| 2026-09-16 | 47 |
| 2026-09-15 | 47 |
| 2026-09-14 | 46 |
| 2026-09-09 | 46 |
| 2026-09-06 | 42 |
| 2026-09-05 | 42 |
| 2026-09-03 | 42 |
| 2026-09-02 | 42 |
| 2026-09-01 | 42 |
| 2026-08-28 | 42 |
| 2026-08-27 | 42 |
| 2026-08-25 | 42 |
| 2026-08-23 | 42 |
| 2026-08-22 | 42 |
| 2026-08-20 | 42 |
| 2026-08-19 | 42 |
| 2026-08-18 | 42 |
| 2026-08-17 | 42 |
| 2026-08-16 | 42 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
58
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
10
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.