Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Devin Fitz-Gerald

WSH · AA · SS · Age 21

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score71.9#154 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance57Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
57Solid current performance
Power.191 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact21.9% KNear expected range
Approach9.7% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall55
Hit55
Power50
Run45
Field50
Arm50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection48.0
Projected Range31–65
Arrival Probability82%
Productive Role Probability35%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAA
PositionSS
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 64 Latest recorded 66
71 65.5 60 2026-09-02 · Median 64 2026-09-03 · Median 64 2026-09-05 · Median 64 2026-09-06 · Median 64 2026-09-09 · Median 66 2026-09-14 · Median 66.6 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 66 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 66 2026-09-25 · Median 66 2026-09-29 · Median 66 2026-09-30 · Median 66 2026-10-03 · Median 66 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0566
2026-10-0466
2026-10-0366
2026-09-3066
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2026-09-1466.6
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