Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Diego Castro

TB · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#5,812
Score21.7
Baseline26
Signal-19.3
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline26
Ceiling36
Confidence46 Risk62 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Diego Castro

TB · DSL · P

Tampa Bay Rays · Age at assessment: 20.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#5,812
Prospect Score21.7
Median26
Performance Signal-19.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 26
31 26.5 22 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 26 2026-08-22 · Median 26 2026-08-23 · Median 26.1 2026-08-25 · Median 26.1 2026-08-27 · Median 26 2026-08-28 · Median 26 2026-09-01 · Median 26 2026-09-02 · Median 26 2026-09-03 · Median 26 2026-09-05 · Median 26 2026-09-06 · Median 26 2026-09-09 · Median 26 2026-09-14 · Median 26.4 2026-09-15 · Median 26 2026-09-16 · Median 26 2026-09-17 · Median 26 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1726
2026-09-1626
2026-09-1526
2026-09-1426.4
2026-09-0926
2026-09-0626
2026-09-0526
2026-09-0326
2026-09-0226
2026-09-0126
2026-08-2826
2026-08-2726
2026-08-2526.1
2026-08-2326.1
2026-08-2226
2026-08-2026
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 46
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
202636
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -19.3

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 62
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence46
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.9
Projected range14–64
Arrival probability1%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.