Player profile
Diego Serna
San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 17.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L
Projection updated: October 3, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Risk is a meaningful drag on the composite score.
PB Rank#492
Prospect Score62.8
Median68
Performance Signal+11.5
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
566881
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +11.5
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 39
Latest recorded 68
2026-10-03 · Median 68
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 68 |
| 2026-09-30 | 68 |
| 2026-09-29 | 68 |
| 2026-09-25 | 68 |
| 2026-09-24 | 68 |
| 2026-09-22 | 68 |
| 2026-09-21 | 68 |
| 2026-09-19 | 68 |
| 2026-09-18 | 68 |
| 2026-09-17 | 68 |
| 2026-09-16 | 68 |
| 2026-09-15 | 68 |
| 2026-09-14 | 68.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 68 |
| 2026-09-06 | 68 |
| 2026-09-05 | 68 |
| 2026-09-03 | 68 |
| 2026-09-02 | 69 |
| 2026-09-01 | 69 |
| 2026-08-28 | 69 |
| 2026-08-27 | 69 |
| 2026-08-20 | 38.9 |
| 2026-08-19 | 39 |
| 2026-08-18 | 39 |
| 2026-08-17 | 39 |
| 2026-08-16 | 39 |
| 2026-08-14 | 39 |
| 2026-08-13 | 39 |
| 2026-08-11 | 39 |
| 2026-08-10 | 39 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
56
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
69
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.