Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

DJ Layton

BAL · High-A · SS · Age 20

Bats S · Throws R
Prospect Score62.3#517 Overall
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor53Lower-end outcome
Baseline58Most likely outcome
Ceiling63High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Offensive impact.797 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact31.0% KContact risk
Approach18.8% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit40
Power50
Run65
Field50
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh91How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh16Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection40.5
Projected Range25–56
Arrival Probability48%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsS
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 57 Latest recorded 58
63 58 53 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 59 2026-09-14 · Median 57.9 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-10-05 · Median 58 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0558
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2026-09-1457.9
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