Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Douglas Veliz

COL · DSL · C

Colorado Rockies · Age at assessment: 17.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,183
Prospect Score54.2
Median51
Performance Signal+18.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425161
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 51
56 51.5 47 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 52 2026-08-17 · Median 52 2026-08-18 · Median 52 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 52 2026-08-22 · Median 52 2026-08-23 · Median 51.6 2026-08-25 · Median 51.6 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 51.4 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1451.4
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2551.6
2026-08-2351.6
2026-08-2252
2026-08-2052
2026-08-1952
2026-08-1852
2026-08-1752
2026-08-1652
2026-08-1452

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 48
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425161
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +18.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence48
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.4
Projected range30–67
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.