Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Drew Smith

SF · Single-A · 3B · Age 23

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score37.2#3,538 Overall
Baseline40Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor29Lower-end outcome
Baseline40Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited32How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping46Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelSingle-A
Position3B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 40
45 35 25 2026-09-02 · Median 29 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 32 2026-09-06 · Median 32 2026-09-09 · Median 40 2026-09-14 · Median 40.4 2026-09-15 · Median 40 2026-09-16 · Median 40 2026-09-17 · Median 40 2026-09-18 · Median 40 2026-09-19 · Median 40 2026-09-21 · Median 40 2026-09-22 · Median 40 2026-09-24 · Median 40 2026-09-25 · Median 40 2026-09-29 · Median 40 2026-09-30 · Median 40 2026-10-03 · Median 40 2026-10-04 · Median 40 2026-10-05 · Median 40 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 40

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0540
2026-10-0440
2026-10-0340
2026-09-3040
2026-09-2940
2026-09-2540
2026-09-2440
2026-09-2240
2026-09-2140
2026-09-1940
2026-09-1840
2026-09-1740
2026-09-1640
2026-09-1540
2026-09-1440.4
2026-09-0940
2026-09-0632
2026-09-0532
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0229