Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Dylan Brown

BOS · High-A · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws L
Prospect Score71.7#160 Overall
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor63Lower-end outcome
Baseline67Most likely outcome
Ceiling72High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Miss ability12.1 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance23.9% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Contact management0.3 HR/9Limits damaging contact

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider45
Changeup50
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh90How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection60.1
Projected Range39–81
Arrival Probability59%
Productive Role Probability13%
Player Background
OrganizationBoston Red Sox
LevelHigh-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsL
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 67 Latest recorded 67
72 67.5 63 2026-09-02 · Median 67 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 68 2026-09-06 · Median 68 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 67.3 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 67 2026-09-18 · Median 67 2026-09-19 · Median 67 2026-09-21 · Median 67 2026-09-22 · Median 67 2026-09-24 · Median 67 2026-09-25 · Median 67 2026-09-29 · Median 67 2026-09-30 · Median 67 2026-10-03 · Median 67 2026-10-04 · Median 67 2026-10-05 · Median 67 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 67

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
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