Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Dylan Wilson

SEA · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,742
Score49.6
Baseline48
Signal-4.1
Trend+0.2
Floor40
Baseline48
Ceiling55
Confidence57 Risk14 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Dylan Wilson

SEA · Single-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 20.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,742
Prospect Score49.6
Median48
Performance Signal-4.1
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 47 Latest recorded 48
62 52.5 43 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 57 2026-08-22 · Median 57 2026-08-23 · Median 57.5 2026-08-25 · Median 57.5 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 57 2026-09-06 · Median 57 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 47.4 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1447.4
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0657
2026-09-0557
2026-09-0357
2026-09-0257
2026-09-0157
2026-08-2857
2026-08-2757
2026-08-2557.5
2026-08-2357.5
2026-08-2257
2026-08-2057
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 57
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 14
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
404855
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -4.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence57
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.9
Projected range17–67
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.