Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Edgar Colon

CIN · High-A · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 20.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Translating
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command tool translating

Current strike-throwing results are broadly aligned with the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#752
Prospect Score59
Median56
Performance47
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 40; command evidence sits near the 47th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 4.7

What could change the read

  • A 11.4 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+6.0 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 73
Command+13.3 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 47

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 45 Latest recorded 56
64 52.5 41 2026-06-04 · Median 45 2026-06-05 · Median 45 2026-06-06 · Median 45 2026-06-07 · Median 45 2026-06-08 · Median 45 2026-06-09 · Median 45 2026-06-10 · Median 45 2026-06-11 · Median 45.3 2026-07-23 · Median 51 2026-07-24 · Median 51 2026-07-25 · Median 51 2026-07-26 · Median 51 2026-07-27 · Median 51 2026-07-28 · Median 51 2026-07-29 · Median 51 2026-07-30 · Median 52 2026-07-31 · Median 52 2026-08-01 · Median 52 2026-08-03 · Median 52 2026-08-05 · Median 52 2026-08-07 · Median 52 2026-08-08 · Median 46 2026-08-09 · Median 46 2026-08-10 · Median 46 2026-08-11 · Median 46 2026-08-13 · Median 46 2026-08-14 · Median 47 2026-08-16 · Median 47 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56.4 2026-08-25 · Median 55.8 2026-08-27 · Median 60 2026-08-28 · Median 60 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.2 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
2026-09-1856
2026-09-1756
2026-09-1656
2026-09-1556
2026-09-1456.2
2026-09-0956
2026-09-0656
2026-09-0556
2026-09-0356
2026-09-0256
2026-09-0156
2026-08-2860
2026-08-2760
2026-08-2555.8
2026-08-2356.4
2026-08-2256
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1647
2026-08-1447
2026-08-1346
2026-08-1146
2026-08-1046
2026-08-0946
2026-08-0846
2026-08-0752
2026-08-0552
2026-08-0352
2026-08-0152
2026-07-3152
2026-07-3052
2026-07-2951
2026-07-2851
2026-07-2751
2026-07-2651
2026-07-2551
2026-07-2451
2026-07-2351
2026-06-1145.3
2026-06-1045
2026-06-0945
2026-06-0845
2026-06-0745
2026-06-0645
2026-06-0545
2026-06-0445

Metrics to follow

BB/9 4.7

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.50

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 16.4%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G17
IP65.0
ERA5.82
WHIP1.49
K/911.4
BB/94.7
K-BB%16.4%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
515662
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 47

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 14
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production43.1
Historical 80% error band18–68
MLB arrival in 3 years13%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider45Fringe
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1010.572207.2109935111.9612.91
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Dayton DragonsHigh-A117.1355017.2171414510221.5311.21
2026Daytona TortugasSingle-A135.321211047.1463428724601.4811.41
20262 teams · TotalAll levels245.821716065.06348421234821.4911.35
2025Daytona TortugasSingle-A055.231512043.0442825530301.726.28
2025ACL RedsACL003.001103.02110351.6715.00
20252 teams · TotalAll levels055.091613046.0462926533351.726.85

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More Cincinnati Reds profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.