Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Edwin Darville

BOS · FCL · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,657
Score50.3
Baseline48
Signal+10.5
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline48
Ceiling58
Confidence48 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Edwin Darville

BOS · FCL · SS

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 20.0 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,657
Prospect Score50.3
Median48
Performance Signal+10.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384858
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 49 Latest recorded 48
53 48.5 44 2026-08-16 · Median 49 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 48.3 2026-08-25 · Median 48.3 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.3 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.3
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.3
2026-08-2348.3
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1649

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 48
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384858
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence48
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.2
Projected range23–60
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.