Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Efren Teran

CWS · Single-A · SS

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 19.9 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,231
Prospect Score53.8
Median51
Performance Signal-0.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
435158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 55 Latest recorded 51
59 52.5 46 2026-08-14 · Median 55 2026-08-16 · Median 55 2026-08-17 · Median 55 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 55 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 54.6 2026-08-25 · Median 54.6 2026-08-27 · Median 55 2026-08-28 · Median 55 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 51 2026-09-14 · Median 50.8 2026-09-15 · Median 51 2026-09-16 · Median 51 2026-09-17 · Median 51 2026-09-18 · Median 51 2026-09-19 · Median 51 2026-09-21 · Median 51 2026-09-22 · Median 51 2026-09-24 · Median 51 2026-09-25 · Median 51 2026-09-29 · Median 51 2026-09-30 · Median 51 2026-10-03 · Median 51 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 51

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0351
2026-09-3051
2026-09-2951
2026-09-2551
2026-09-2451
2026-09-2251
2026-09-2151
2026-09-1951
2026-09-1851
2026-09-1751
2026-09-1651
2026-09-1551
2026-09-1450.8
2026-09-0951
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2855
2026-08-2755
2026-08-2554.6
2026-08-2354.6
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-08-1955
2026-08-1855
2026-08-1755
2026-08-1655
2026-08-1455

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 8
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
435158
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.4

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 8
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence60
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.9
Projected range19–50
Arrival probability8%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.