Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Eli Jones

MIN · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#634
Score60.7
Baseline58
Signal+12.8
Trend0.0
Floor52
Baseline58
Ceiling65
Confidence61 Risk12 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Eli Jones

MIN · AA · P

Minnesota Twins · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#634
Prospect Score60.7
Median58
Performance Signal+12.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
525865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 58
63 55.5 48 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 58 2026-09-14 · Median 58.3 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-10-04 · Median 58 2026-08-27 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0458
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1458.3
2026-09-0958
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
525865
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.4
Projected range25–74
Arrival probability16%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.